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At a Glance: NCI’s Division of Cancer Prevention

September 15, 2021

Yale Cancer Center Grand Rounds | September 14, 2021

Dr. Philip Castle

ID
6903

Transcript

  • 00:00Hey everybody, I'm Kerry Gross
  • 00:02director about cancer outcomes.
  • 00:04Copper Center and also primary care doc.
  • 00:08And with that background,
  • 00:10it's a particular treat to welcome
  • 00:13Doctor Philip Castle to join us today.
  • 00:16Doctor Cassell's work has been
  • 00:19foundational in our understanding of
  • 00:21the etiology and prevention of HPV,
  • 00:24associated cancers and cancer prevention
  • 00:26with General Electric Castle received
  • 00:29his PhD in Biophysics, actually.
  • 00:31A masters in public health
  • 00:33from Johns Hopkins,
  • 00:35who was previously the Chief
  • 00:37scientific officer at the American
  • 00:40Society for Clinical Pathology.
  • 00:42There's been a principal investigator for
  • 00:44more than 15 years of self initiating,
  • 00:46conducting and reading by several
  • 00:49large NCI sponsored electoral
  • 00:52and clinical research studies,
  • 00:54both in the US and abroad.
  • 00:56Is that the party is widely appreciated.
  • 00:59It's contributed to virtually every
  • 01:01major guidelines regarding regarding at
  • 01:04cervical cancer screening and prevention,
  • 01:06and his work really has extended globally.
  • 01:09His papers have been cited more
  • 01:11than 40,000 times in aggregate.
  • 01:13Currently Dot the castle serves as the
  • 01:16director of the Division of Cancer
  • 01:18Prevention and Control at the NCI.
  • 01:21Working overseas.
  • 01:21The conduct and support our
  • 01:23research in cancer prevention,
  • 01:25early detection and screening.
  • 01:28And now is a particularly
  • 01:31relevant and timely setting for
  • 01:33Doctor Castle to present to us.
  • 01:35This is the 50th anniversary
  • 01:37of the National Cancer Act,
  • 01:39and as we reflect on the role of
  • 01:42science in public health and society
  • 01:44in general and in the efforts
  • 01:47against cancer in particular,
  • 01:49the role of prevention is a means
  • 01:51to decrease the burden of cancer.
  • 01:53This clearly is central work,
  • 01:55so thank you for joining us today.
  • 01:57Doctor castle.
  • 01:58And we look forward to your comments.
  • 02:01Thank you so very much.
  • 02:02It's a real honor to be here and
  • 02:04it's a real honor to lead the NCIS
  • 02:07division of cancer prevention.
  • 02:08Today I'm going to give you sort
  • 02:10of a broad overview,
  • 02:12recognizing as I learned that many of
  • 02:14my colleagues don't actually understand
  • 02:16what the division of cancer prevention does,
  • 02:18how it's different from the other divisions,
  • 02:21but also to.
  • 02:23Highlight the work that we
  • 02:25support and to engage you,
  • 02:27hopefully in the future.
  • 02:28In in some of these cancer
  • 02:31prevention activities.
  • 02:33So just a few disclaimers that get started,
  • 02:36opinions expressed or mine should
  • 02:38not be interpreted as representing
  • 02:40official viewpoints of EU.
  • 02:42S.
  • 02:42Department of Health and Human Services,
  • 02:44the National Institutes of Health,
  • 02:45the National Cancer Institute,
  • 02:47or the Division of Cancer Prevention.
  • 02:50My comments are informal and should not be
  • 02:52taken as a signal for funding priorities.
  • 02:54I will speak in broad terms
  • 02:55of what I think is important,
  • 02:57where I would like to see the science
  • 02:59of cancer prevention head towards
  • 03:00in the future and my aspirations,
  • 03:02whether and when I or we can
  • 03:05implement those priorities depends
  • 03:06on many factors beyond my control.
  • 03:09I wish that weren't the case,
  • 03:10but it is in fact the case I wanted
  • 03:13to highlight the burden of cancer
  • 03:14and I know you all know this,
  • 03:16but it's it's.
  • 03:17It's the starting point for this discussion
  • 03:20or any discussion about prevention.
  • 03:23Which sometimes I think UM, sort of
  • 03:26gets put into the second row here, but.
  • 03:30As you can see in the slide here on the
  • 03:33in the left panel is the expenditures
  • 03:36per billions of dollars annually for not
  • 03:39seeing your slides, we need to share.
  • 03:43See what's going on here, sorry.
  • 03:59My apologies, can you see that now?
  • 04:03Perfect thank you.
  • 04:04OK so in the left panel is
  • 04:07by cancer expenditures and
  • 04:09billions of dollars annually.
  • 04:11And then for the most common cancers
  • 04:13are the most lethal cancers you
  • 04:15can see that it's not billions,
  • 04:16but it's tens of billions of dollars,
  • 04:19and in fact the national costs of
  • 04:21cancer were estimated to be 190 billion
  • 04:23in 2015 and now 209 billion in 2020,
  • 04:27an increase of 10% over that period of time.
  • 04:30And that doesn't really even account
  • 04:32for the hidden costs of cancer,
  • 04:34which is a product approximated
  • 04:36to be 100 billion.
  • 04:37And as I'll show you the next slide,
  • 04:40we've made a lot of advances.
  • 04:41Certainly in the treatment of cancer.
  • 04:43But we still have 1.5 million cancers
  • 04:46and .6 million related deaths every year.
  • 04:49And just to give you a perspective and
  • 04:52on that as bad as COVID was and is a
  • 04:57point 6 million deaths is almost two full.
  • 05:02Not quite,
  • 05:03but almost twofold more deaths than
  • 05:05those than that caused by COVID.
  • 05:08So, uh,
  • 05:09what what's happened over the last 45 years?
  • 05:13You can see that arguably,
  • 05:16I'm here are there's a CDC data
  • 05:18rate per 100,000 of the population.
  • 05:20We've really not made any significant
  • 05:23headway in the incidence of
  • 05:26cancer in males and females.
  • 05:28There's a sort of a peak
  • 05:30in males in the early 90s,
  • 05:31and that's come back down,
  • 05:32but it's about the same level as it was in
  • 05:361975 and in females it's gone up slightly.
  • 05:40I mean partly in dude and
  • 05:42aging population to be sure.
  • 05:43But you know, these are not the
  • 05:45kinds of numbers we'd like to see.
  • 05:47Certainly we've made some advances
  • 05:50in the management of cancer.
  • 05:52In survival,
  • 05:53particularly well in both in both sexes,
  • 05:57maybe perhaps more in males than females,
  • 06:00but I would say also here that even
  • 06:04preventing cancer related death.
  • 06:06It's a long life or longer life of
  • 06:11significant morbidity and lower
  • 06:13quality of life to live with cancer,
  • 06:17as I know from my own family members.
  • 06:20So the mission of the division of
  • 06:23Cancer prevention is as follows.
  • 06:25The NCI Division of Cancer Prevention.
  • 06:28Lead supports and promotes
  • 06:30rigorous innovative research and
  • 06:32training to reduce risk burdens.
  • 06:34Consequences of cancer to improve
  • 06:36the health of all people,
  • 06:37and you'll understand this a little
  • 06:39better as I go through and give
  • 06:41you a this at a glance of view of
  • 06:44the division of cancer prevention.
  • 06:45Uh,
  • 06:46just to highlight that I almost do nothing,
  • 06:48this everything that you're going
  • 06:50to hear about it has to do with
  • 06:52an amazing staff.
  • 06:53Uhm,
  • 06:54shown here we have groups focused on
  • 06:58method more methodologic approaches
  • 07:00or exposures and we also have organ
  • 07:04specific areas of research as well.
  • 07:06I will highlight some of these,
  • 07:08but that is not to say that there
  • 07:09I mean we could talk for hours
  • 07:11about what everybody is doing.
  • 07:15Uh, I put up this translational continuum,
  • 07:17and again, you'll see why here in a
  • 07:19moment to really sort of highlight this,
  • 07:22the stepwise development of interventions
  • 07:25and and, and therefore where we fit into
  • 07:28that from basic science to translation
  • 07:30to humans translation to patients,
  • 07:32translation to practice and translation
  • 07:35in their community. Showing up.
  • 07:37This in terms of the divisions
  • 07:39and these are approximations.
  • 07:41I wouldn't say that any one of of
  • 07:44these you know nobody's limited
  • 07:46perception completely to this area,
  • 07:49but I would say 90 to 95% of the work.
  • 07:52Each of the division is sort of
  • 07:54represented here and in over with an
  • 07:57overlay of the translational continuum.
  • 08:00We really focus on the.
  • 08:03An innovation to prevent cancer
  • 08:06and to manage symptoms.
  • 08:08As I would talk about later
  • 08:10and try to you know.
  • 08:11So we identify and we do early
  • 08:13validation work with the hopes that
  • 08:15successful strategies then get more
  • 08:17or less handed off to the division of
  • 08:20Cancer Control and Population Sciences.
  • 08:22So we really there really are two.
  • 08:25Population science groups at the
  • 08:27NCI were a little bit sort of.
  • 08:30I would say the forgotten group or the
  • 08:33the the other population science group.
  • 08:36I think people are generally more
  • 08:38familiar with cancer control
  • 08:39and population sciences because
  • 08:40it tends to dovetail more.
  • 08:44More easily with the Cancer
  • 08:46Center in the in those renewals,
  • 08:48particularly related to.
  • 08:51Uh, uh, outreach?
  • 08:52Uh, we're actually probably more
  • 08:54aligned in terms of the work we
  • 08:56do with the division of cancer
  • 08:58treatment and diagnosis, Albert.
  • 09:01We spend a lot more.
  • 09:03We invest a lot more in
  • 09:05treatment and diagnosis.
  • 09:06We work closely with the
  • 09:07division of Cancer Biology,
  • 09:09particularly on identifying pathways
  • 09:11for cancer or carcinogenesis
  • 09:12that can be then translated into
  • 09:15prevention strategies and then
  • 09:17the intramural program with the
  • 09:19center of Cancer Research and
  • 09:21division of cancer epigenetics,
  • 09:23which we're increasingly working
  • 09:25closely with to try to get
  • 09:28their innovations into clinical
  • 09:30practice and into public health.
  • 09:33So and you all know this,
  • 09:35but it's always useful to
  • 09:37sort of declare these things.
  • 09:40Cancer prevention is really, really hard.
  • 09:43There's certainly an event
  • 09:44bias or what I call an event by
  • 09:47success is the absence of events,
  • 09:48and therefore there are no champions.
  • 09:50This is also referred to
  • 09:52as the prevention paradox.
  • 09:54Our first mission is to keep
  • 09:56healthy people healthy.
  • 09:56First do no harm,
  • 09:58and I'd say this applies more to
  • 10:01public health and even medicine,
  • 10:03and I point out that you know when
  • 10:05we do screening people think of
  • 10:06screening as a one step process,
  • 10:08but it's really a two step process.
  • 10:10The first step in screening is
  • 10:12to tell healthy people there.
  • 10:13Healthy and they don't need to
  • 10:15be screened again for whatever
  • 10:16is an acceptable interval.
  • 10:18And then among the positives
  • 10:19we we try to rule in.
  • 10:21Who needs immediate care.
  • 10:23But it's also important to
  • 10:25remember in the general population,
  • 10:27most people at any one time will not be.
  • 10:30Uh, you know,
  • 10:31will not get cancer or particular
  • 10:33cancer so 49 out of 50 women would never
  • 10:36get cervical cancer if we did nothing of all.
  • 10:38We didn't screen them.
  • 10:39We didn't vaccinate them,
  • 10:41etc etc.
  • 10:41It's a high bar because of the rare
  • 10:44events and the relatively small benefits,
  • 10:47and there's very little tolerance
  • 10:49for toxicity and and then the final
  • 10:52barrier if you will, is there.
  • 10:53I think there's a perception that
  • 10:55there's no money in prevention and I
  • 10:57I would challenge that only to say that.
  • 11:00Nobody wants to get cancer,
  • 11:01and so there's a lot of people out
  • 11:03there that don't want to get cancer.
  • 11:04I mean, uh, you know,
  • 11:06so that I think that there's actually,
  • 11:08you know, given the big denominator,
  • 11:09there's a big opportunity for industry
  • 11:12to get involved in and prevention.
  • 11:14I think that what scares them off is
  • 11:17the the the expense and difficulties
  • 11:21of doing large trials to demonstrate.
  • 11:24Efficacy and effectiveness and the very
  • 11:28low tolerance for toxicity or adverse events.
  • 11:32This is highlights sort of the
  • 11:34causes of cancer and where they are.
  • 11:36Some of the opportunities are.
  • 11:37I wouldn't say that there it's comprehensive.
  • 11:40This is from Scott Lippman in it at all.
  • 11:43Obviously obesity is and tobacco or
  • 11:47the main causes of cancer tobacco,
  • 11:53you know,
  • 11:53we we even do some work in this
  • 11:56area, particularly for
  • 11:57anti nicotine approaches.
  • 11:59Obesity I think hangs over all of us in
  • 12:02terms of how do we tackle this problem?
  • 12:05How do we mitigate the effects of BC?
  • 12:07What is the you know?
  • 12:09What is the causal relationship
  • 12:10of obesity with cancer?
  • 12:12Is it inflammation?
  • 12:13What kind of inflammation? Etc etc.
  • 12:15And then a variety of other causes.
  • 12:19Viruses are near and dear to my heart
  • 12:21because of my work on human papilloma virus,
  • 12:23which causes 5% of of cancers globally,
  • 12:29so it's. And HPV been my training ground on.
  • 12:34I started off as a lab scientist but
  • 12:37moved into molecular epidemiology
  • 12:3820 years ago and continue to learn
  • 12:41from the study of HPV in many ways.
  • 12:46So if we think about this causal model
  • 12:50where we go from normal to initiate it
  • 12:52to precursor States and invasive cancer,
  • 12:54it really helps us sort of identify
  • 12:56the roles of different groups.
  • 12:58But also where we where the opportunities
  • 13:00are for intervention now precursor states,
  • 13:03I mean those are somewhat artificial
  • 13:05slices of the of the pathway,
  • 13:07and in case of cervical cancer that
  • 13:10probably really aren't distinct states,
  • 13:12just clinical diagnosis that fall
  • 13:15within this area somewhere between.
  • 13:17Initiated and pre cancer.
  • 13:22So what can we do right now?
  • 13:24Obviously and and I will say highlight
  • 13:27that I recently published an OP Ed
  • 13:29in Stat to talk about really these
  • 13:32same strategies that are being used
  • 13:34for COVID can be used for cancer
  • 13:37prevention and that we really need a
  • 13:39pandemic response for cancer prevention
  • 13:41because of the annual burden of cancer.
  • 13:44So avoidance is one strategy or
  • 13:47primary prevention if you will,
  • 13:50through tobacco prevention, HPV and HB.
  • 13:54HPV vaccination treatment of
  • 13:57H pylori potentially.
  • 13:59And then sex sort of secondary
  • 14:02prevention through tobacco cessation,
  • 14:03screening and diagnosis.
  • 14:05And those tools, avoidance vaccinations,
  • 14:08bringing treatment,
  • 14:09or the very things that we're
  • 14:12using now to battle COVID.
  • 14:13And really we need to highlight
  • 14:16those and bring them back into
  • 14:19the prevention discussion.
  • 14:20Uh, we're working more and more in
  • 14:22the area of interception of cancer and
  • 14:24we'll talk more about this in moment,
  • 14:26right?
  • 14:26And this is sort of moving us
  • 14:28towards what people refer to
  • 14:30as precision cancer prevention,
  • 14:32and I'll talk about that a couple
  • 14:34times through this and even propose
  • 14:36a broader definition of precision
  • 14:39cancer prevention.
  • 14:40But obviously,
  • 14:41tamoxifen and its derivatives
  • 14:42for breast cancer for those who
  • 14:45are at high risk and seats for
  • 14:47colon cancer immune modulators.
  • 14:49Drugs that target oncogenic drivers and
  • 14:52re activators of tumor suppressor genes,
  • 14:55for example.
  • 14:58So I'm going to present this
  • 15:01this chart or this picture for
  • 15:04our three main programs here.
  • 15:06It's what I call our
  • 15:08preventive agent R&D pipeline.
  • 15:09And the thing that I want to
  • 15:11point out is that people don't
  • 15:13always recognize these programs,
  • 15:14particularly in DCP.
  • 15:15We gave a presentation for this
  • 15:17new program called Capital,
  • 15:19which I'll explain in a moment
  • 15:22to the BSA members.
  • 15:23The NCI Board of Scientific advisors.
  • 15:27And one of the members didn't
  • 15:28even know what prevented.
  • 15:29So let me so I'm going to drag
  • 15:31you through this because I want
  • 15:33to engage you in the process of
  • 15:35developing new prevention strategies.
  • 15:37So cap it is a new program.
  • 15:39It's a targeted agent identification
  • 15:43program for preventive agents.
  • 15:45Prevent is our preclinical development
  • 15:48and validation program and even you know,
  • 15:51to the extent of producing GMP grade
  • 15:54drug for trials seek Tenet is our early
  • 15:58stage clinical trials network and then core,
  • 16:02which I'm sure everybody's heard of, is our.
  • 16:04You know,
  • 16:05our big clinical trials network.
  • 16:07For primarily for phase three trials like T.
  • 16:10Mist.
  • 16:12We had a moon shot consortium
  • 16:14on come on novel advents.
  • 16:16You lack net is to look at prevention of
  • 16:20HPV related disease in HIV and people
  • 16:23living with HIV in Latin America.
  • 16:25We have funding opportunities for cancer
  • 16:28prevention and control trials and a new
  • 16:31one hitting the street on in yellow.
  • 16:33Here,
  • 16:33cancer trials,
  • 16:35planning and feasibility.
  • 16:36It's kind of like a P20 funding opportunity.
  • 16:39I can't remember what the the mechanism is.
  • 16:42But the the basic idea is that these trials
  • 16:45are very hard to do and to do denovo,
  • 16:48and that if we spent some money investing in,
  • 16:51we would.
  • 16:53You know, get the get the planning done
  • 16:57in the and test the feasibility before
  • 17:00they came for an R1 level funding.
  • 17:03Precision Cancer Prevention
  • 17:04centers is is is the future.
  • 17:07I hope it's my dream and fantasy
  • 17:09that it would and it would
  • 17:11dovetail with this R&D pipeline.
  • 17:12But basically two engaged centers to kind of
  • 17:18create their own pipeline that would move.
  • 17:23Move from discovery to early
  • 17:26translation to early human trials and.
  • 17:29I emphasize here as shown below that
  • 17:33although these programs sit at the NCI,
  • 17:36they're open for investigator initiated
  • 17:39research to take advantage of these programs,
  • 17:42and we encourage it.
  • 17:43We want you to come forward
  • 17:45with new prevention strategies,
  • 17:47and again I want to emphasize that
  • 17:49what DCP focuses on innovation,
  • 17:51new strategies that we haven't
  • 17:53that you know are not.
  • 17:55You know that need development
  • 17:58and early validation.
  • 18:01This just shows the CPCT net,
  • 18:04which is really this early phase clinical
  • 18:08trials group that's across the country.
  • 18:11With data monitoring and uhm, uhm?
  • 18:15A board that's a data management and
  • 18:20that coordinates these activities,
  • 18:23optimizes clinical trial designs,
  • 18:25developed surrogate and
  • 18:27intermediate endpoint biomarkers,
  • 18:28test novel imaging technologies,
  • 18:30and develop further insights into the
  • 18:34mechanisms of cancer prevention by agents.
  • 18:37And this is led by even zabbo.
  • 18:41Here's a couple of the approved
  • 18:43trials that are already underway,
  • 18:45one on NAFLD,
  • 18:47a HPV vaccine delayed booster trial.
  • 18:52Uhm and prostate uhm.
  • 18:54A management trial as well.
  • 19:00These are some of the.
  • 19:03Protocols that are under development
  • 19:05a wide range from breast cancer to
  • 19:09FAPA metformin as a chemopreventive
  • 19:11agent for lung cancer and
  • 19:13high risk of these patients.
  • 19:15I'm not going to read through all these.
  • 19:17You can have these slides and
  • 19:19kind of see the the breadth and
  • 19:22depth of the trials at the NCI.
  • 19:26We're doing a number of studies
  • 19:29on topical tamoxifen to look at
  • 19:32whether we can sort of change
  • 19:34the benefits to harms ratio,
  • 19:36and I'll I'll come back to that point.
  • 19:39By delivering tamox into that issue at risk,
  • 19:42and in this case breast cancer.
  • 19:44Looking at some biomarkers
  • 19:47in DCIS breast density.
  • 19:49Measuring inter individual variation
  • 19:54and looking at serum and tissue
  • 19:57concentrations of of of the
  • 20:00drug being delivered topically.
  • 20:06Are you lacnet which I mentioned before?
  • 20:08Is our HPV prevention clinical trials
  • 20:11network in Latin American Caribbean,
  • 20:14and there are three consortium members
  • 20:17working on a variety wide variety of
  • 20:20interventions from some vaccination
  • 20:22work to screening to pre cancer
  • 20:25therapeutics and people living with HIV.
  • 20:31So then that leads us into discussions
  • 20:33of screening early detection,
  • 20:35which we've done a lot.
  • 20:36Obviously, Plco is one of the major U S
  • 20:39trials that was sponsored by the Division
  • 20:42of Cancer Prevention and here above,
  • 20:45here in the yellow.
  • 20:46I just wanted to state that we are
  • 20:48more and more thinking about what
  • 20:50I call risk informed screening,
  • 20:52so using risk to decide who and when
  • 20:54people need to be screened or to modify
  • 20:57the management of the screen positives.
  • 21:00And it also provides a possible
  • 21:02or potential for intervention with
  • 21:04targeted preventive agents if we know
  • 21:07the biology of what that risk is,
  • 21:09then we could then combine both screening
  • 21:13strategy with a preventive agent strategy.
  • 21:17So this is our screening early detection
  • 21:20R&D pipeline at the core of this is Dern,
  • 21:23which has been just renewed and is
  • 21:27now 20 years in the making or in its
  • 21:30in its in its life and it continues.
  • 21:34I will present a few slides on that,
  • 21:36but we have some related projects
  • 21:39around pancreas cancer, PCDC,
  • 21:41liver cancer, TLC,
  • 21:42L we have a liquid biopsy consortium
  • 21:45and we have an image ingane.
  • 21:48Biomarkers consortium T bells and
  • 21:50new program to help us differentiate
  • 21:53between indolent and aggressive cancer.
  • 21:57I'm sure many of you have heard
  • 21:59of H Tan which is the human tumor
  • 22:01Atlas network and we built off of
  • 22:03that a pilot study called the Pre
  • 22:06Cancer Atlas which we're hoping to
  • 22:08renew in the subsequent year or so.
  • 22:11Uh.
  • 22:12One of the big gaps that we need to fill is
  • 22:15a screening and early detection network.
  • 22:17Not that Encor doesn't do some of that,
  • 22:20but.
  • 22:20We really need to engage the primary
  • 22:23care providers to recruit average
  • 22:25risk populations into our trials,
  • 22:28and so that's why I showed that in purple.
  • 22:30We're developing a new lung
  • 22:34cancer image library for improved
  • 22:37interpretation of those images I
  • 22:40mentioned you lacnet several times
  • 22:42were now have on the street at Cascade,
  • 22:45which is a another consortium
  • 22:48to look at best practices for.
  • 22:51Screening women living with
  • 22:53HIV for cervical cancer.
  • 22:56How best to screen them?
  • 22:57Manage them and treat them.
  • 23:00Last Mile is a project that
  • 23:02I'm Co leading on getting self
  • 23:05collection and HPV testing approved.
  • 23:08For routine screening in the
  • 23:10United States and so forth.
  • 23:14Uh,
  • 23:14we're hoping to stand up some risk
  • 23:17informed screening for cancer trials,
  • 23:19or what I call risk trials,
  • 23:21and we have a large trans NCI liquid biopsy,
  • 23:25multi cancer early detection
  • 23:27program that I've initiated and
  • 23:29we will be working on that,
  • 23:30including what I hope is a large
  • 23:33platform trial to look at some of
  • 23:35these technologies going forward.
  • 23:37This just gives you a sense of end
  • 23:40core which is involved in all of
  • 23:42those activities that preventive
  • 23:44agent development program as well
  • 23:46as the screening early detection.
  • 23:48There are over 1000 clinical sites,
  • 23:5146 centers and affiliates and
  • 23:53more than 4000 investigators.
  • 23:55This is led by Warden Mckaskle
  • 23:58Stevenson who's doing an
  • 23:59incredible job of.
  • 24:01Herding the cats if you will.
  • 24:03Uh, I'm sure you've heard of a team nest,
  • 24:06which is a randomized clinical trial
  • 24:09to compare 2D versus 3D mammography.
  • 24:12I'll show you some of the not results,
  • 24:15but there are recruitment in our
  • 24:18recruitment struggles during COVID.
  • 24:19We've just launched Forte,
  • 24:21which is to look at best
  • 24:24rap best management of.
  • 24:26You know low, fairly low risk.
  • 24:30Populations who have wanted
  • 24:31two non advanced polyps.
  • 24:33And then a management trial
  • 24:37for pancreatic cysts.
  • 24:41You can see here the team missed was,
  • 24:44as was many of our activities adversely
  • 24:48affected by the COVID pandemic,
  • 24:51shown here highlighted down here,
  • 24:53you can see that the enrollment almost went
  • 24:56to zero during the height of the pandemic.
  • 25:00It's now come back and exceeded
  • 25:03the monthly recruitment levels.
  • 25:04So we're very excited about that and
  • 25:07over time will start getting some
  • 25:09readouts from the trial itself on.
  • 25:113D versus 2D mammography.
  • 25:15Uhm, this just highlights the cascade,
  • 25:18which is a global multicenter
  • 25:21cooperative agreement.
  • 25:22Clinical trials network.
  • 25:23To optimize this cervical cancer
  • 25:25screening and treatment cascade
  • 25:27for women living with HIV.
  • 25:29Looking at all these issues in
  • 25:31the care continuum care of care.
  • 25:34From screening uptake to management
  • 25:36of positives,
  • 25:37pre cancer treatment and so forth.
  • 25:40Although this will be a will
  • 25:42have sites in the United States,
  • 25:44we will also include sites in
  • 25:46low and middle income countries.
  • 25:50A last mile, as I mentioned,
  • 25:52is really going to, we hope,
  • 25:55bring HPV testing of self collected
  • 25:58samples online in the United
  • 26:00States and we're working very
  • 26:02closely with the FDA on this.
  • 26:04And just to say that.
  • 26:06I've spent 15 years working on
  • 26:09this topic more than 15 years.
  • 26:11I know I look young,
  • 26:12but it has been more than 15 years
  • 26:15working on this particular one,
  • 26:17that the idea that we can democratize
  • 26:20screening by bringing screening to
  • 26:23the homes or to convenient areas for
  • 26:27participation in screening, I think,
  • 26:29is going to be a game changer,
  • 26:32not just nationally but globally.
  • 26:34Although most countries don't
  • 26:36necessarily take FDA approval.
  • 26:38Directly in consideration,
  • 26:39it is a big deal to have an FDA approval
  • 26:43for a particular intervention so.
  • 26:46We're very excited about this initiative,
  • 26:49which we're hoping to launch
  • 26:51in the next year or so.
  • 26:53And and the other thing to say about
  • 26:56this is from the meta analysis that
  • 26:58I've participated in and others
  • 27:00we know that women prefer this.
  • 27:02I mean,
  • 27:03it's kind of a no brainer and
  • 27:05using a PCR based HPV test there's
  • 27:08really little or no decrement
  • 27:10in clinical performance,
  • 27:12so this is a big deal.
  • 27:14If we can get it underway.
  • 27:15And it's a big deal in the global
  • 27:19battle against cervical cancer.
  • 27:24ERN was established in 2000, UM,
  • 27:28to support investigator initiated
  • 27:29research for the development
  • 27:31and validation of biomarkers,
  • 27:32foster interaction cooperation
  • 27:34between academic, clinical,
  • 27:36industrial partners or leaders.
  • 27:40Furnish and apply standardized biomarker
  • 27:42validation criterion quality assurance
  • 27:44and facilitate regulatory process to bring
  • 27:47biomarkers rapidly into clinical use.
  • 27:49This is really our core
  • 27:51biomarker for you know,
  • 27:53screening for prevention and early detection,
  • 27:56and Sudhir has done an
  • 27:58amazing job on this program.
  • 28:01This just gives you a sense of the of
  • 28:03the of the different components of this.
  • 28:06There are four main research
  • 28:07groups shown here.
  • 28:08On the left there's a steering executive,
  • 28:11committees that oversee and review
  • 28:13the program on a regular basis.
  • 28:17We have a consulting team and then
  • 28:19earn because of its breadth and depth,
  • 28:21is really started to come.
  • 28:24You know, permeate all areas related to.
  • 28:30Early detection biomarkers related to
  • 28:32early detection and prevention projects.
  • 28:35Collaborations with Japan, India,
  • 28:38France.
  • 28:40Uhm, we've gotten Co funding
  • 28:42from a variety of organizations.
  • 28:44As I mentioned,
  • 28:45there are tangential collaborative groups
  • 28:48that expand on particular areas of EDR,
  • 28:51and many associate members,
  • 28:54federal partners,
  • 28:55and we engage directly with
  • 28:58pharma biotech industry.
  • 29:02These are just some of the
  • 29:03tests and I won't go over them.
  • 29:05Obviously the perhaps the
  • 29:06one that you're you know.
  • 29:09Hearing a lot about his cancer seek
  • 29:11which is a multi cancer early detection
  • 29:13which was supported by the DRN.
  • 29:16But there are many more and with this
  • 29:18next round of renewal we're really
  • 29:20hoping to push more things to FDA
  • 29:22approval and into clinical practice.
  • 29:24And that's really going to be our
  • 29:26metric going forward is how much
  • 29:28of this gets into routine care?
  • 29:32Uh, I sort of alluded to this before,
  • 29:34but the idea that we could bring
  • 29:36these two pipelines together
  • 29:37one is biomarker discovery,
  • 29:39as well as and as well as bringing
  • 29:44a preventive agent into the mix
  • 29:47and so that you could detect
  • 29:48and mitigate cancer risk, but.
  • 29:52As I will talk about later,
  • 29:53I really want to expand what we call
  • 29:56precision cancer prevention and I will
  • 29:58talk about that a little bit later.
  • 30:00We also do symptom management,
  • 30:01which seems odd, but that's the way it is.
  • 30:04And actually I'm very excited about this.
  • 30:06I think there's tremendous
  • 30:08opportunity to improve symptom
  • 30:10management and supportive care.
  • 30:12What's really important about this
  • 30:13to me is that the prevention and
  • 30:16treatment of symptoms from cancer
  • 30:18cancer treatment really has a profound
  • 30:20effect on the quality of life.
  • 30:22Of patients,
  • 30:23but also their ability to survive
  • 30:25the cancer and cancer treatment
  • 30:27if we can manage symptoms better.
  • 30:29As you well know,
  • 30:30many of you are oncologists.
  • 30:32The clinical performance remains
  • 30:33high and so patients really not only
  • 30:36get their first line of treatment,
  • 30:38they get their second and third
  • 30:40line treatment and even treatments
  • 30:41that haven't been invented today
  • 30:43but will be tomorrow.
  • 30:46So we have a very broad portfolio,
  • 30:49big and broad portfolio and and
  • 30:52in symptom management shown here.
  • 30:56Uh, those are the number in the
  • 30:58upper left hand panel is the
  • 31:00number of grants per per year.
  • 31:05Are we really the only group at the
  • 31:07NCI that focuses on pain management?
  • 31:10And much of these activities happen
  • 31:13within our clinical trials network,
  • 31:15now called Encor. It used to be sikap.
  • 31:19So this is again the pipeline and I use
  • 31:22this as a is a sort of a platform for
  • 31:25thinking about where we want to go.
  • 31:27We have a lot of. You know,
  • 31:31activities in our clinical trials,
  • 31:32but what's really lacking is an
  • 31:34investment in the biology and genetics
  • 31:36of symptoms and symptom management.
  • 31:38What we'll call here is precision
  • 31:40symptom management, or symptom science.
  • 31:43Uh, and so we really.
  • 31:45I'm hoping in the next couple years to make
  • 31:47to get some NCI investment in this area.
  • 31:50There's no reason for trial and error
  • 31:53related to symptom management anymore
  • 31:55than there is for cancer treatment itself.
  • 31:58Uh, we've been doing a lot on, UM.
  • 32:01Defining patient reported
  • 32:03outcomes and standardizing them,
  • 32:05which is important for a sort of a base
  • 32:08for doing anything to improve symptom
  • 32:11management if we can't measure the outcomes,
  • 32:14then there's not much for us
  • 32:16to do and not much.
  • 32:18We can't show anything.
  • 32:19So the this moon shot that tolerability
  • 32:22consortium focused on analyzing,
  • 32:24interpreting,
  • 32:25clinician and patient adverse event
  • 32:27data to better understand Taler ability.
  • 32:30Doing so by creating a consortium to
  • 32:33share analytic approaches and so let
  • 32:36me conclude with a few slides here and
  • 32:40then it will open up for questions.
  • 32:42These are certain my informal,
  • 32:44UM, unofficial priorities,
  • 32:46really understanding biologic risk and
  • 32:49using that to guide what we do for patients,
  • 32:54but also population risk to
  • 32:56decide who gets screened and how.
  • 32:59How to screen,
  • 33:00how to screen positives are
  • 33:02managed and how to harmonize care.
  • 33:04What I call equal risk equal
  • 33:06care for equal risk,
  • 33:08which is an idea that we had promulgated
  • 33:10over 15 years ago in the cervix.
  • 33:12World,
  • 33:13as we saw that there were the all
  • 33:15these new tools coming and there
  • 33:16was going to be a great deal of
  • 33:18heterogeneity in the population.
  • 33:20Risk to their vaccination.
  • 33:22We really needed a organizing principle here.
  • 33:25Obesity, as I mentioned before.
  • 33:29Causes so much of the burden of cancer
  • 33:32and we really don't understand it.
  • 33:35If we did,
  • 33:36we could mitigate its effects.
  • 33:37Obviously,
  • 33:38changing lifestyle behavior would be ideal,
  • 33:40but I think it's a real challenge to get
  • 33:42people to change their their lifestyle
  • 33:45behavior over a course of decades.
  • 33:48And so I'm not saying that
  • 33:49we shouldn't invest in that,
  • 33:50but I'm saying complementary to that.
  • 33:53We really should understand the
  • 33:55pathways and how obesity contributes
  • 33:58to carcinogenesis so that we can.
  • 34:01Combine that with changes in
  • 34:03lifestyle and behavior.
  • 34:05I think I've said enough about precision,
  • 34:07symptom, prevention,
  • 34:09and management, but I you know,
  • 34:11just to emphasize that I,
  • 34:12I think we need to move away from
  • 34:14the trial and error that often
  • 34:16occurs in clinical management.
  • 34:17That's not a criticism of
  • 34:18the clinicians at all,
  • 34:19it's just that we haven't.
  • 34:21We haven't really taken this as seriously
  • 34:23as we should in terms of bringing the
  • 34:26same kind of focus on precision medicine
  • 34:28to this area as we have in other areas.
  • 34:31Health disparities I. I think there's
  • 34:34a lot of opportunity for innovation.
  • 34:37I mentioned self collection developing point
  • 34:40of care testing like for HCV. You know,
  • 34:43bring the bring the tests to the people,
  • 34:45or bringing the intervention of
  • 34:47the people rather than just relying
  • 34:50on them to come to the clinic.
  • 34:52I know that persistent reality is
  • 34:54a major risk factor for cancer,
  • 34:57and then we're being bombarded
  • 34:59with new technologies,
  • 35:00AI multi cancer, early detection,
  • 35:02synthetic biomarkers, etc etc.
  • 35:04We really the NCI plays a pivotal
  • 35:06role in sort of getting out in front
  • 35:08and figuring out what's good and
  • 35:11what's not without bias without.
  • 35:13And gender and and I think we need
  • 35:15to do that more and more as these new
  • 35:19technologies rollout faster and faster.
  • 35:21Uhm, I wanna pose something that
  • 35:24might be a little bit controversial,
  • 35:27which is a broader definition
  • 35:30of precision cancer prevention.
  • 35:32To achieve equitable care for all.
  • 35:35And the core principles here are the
  • 35:37benefits to harms ratio and understanding.
  • 35:39All causes of differences,
  • 35:41not just biological,
  • 35:43which informs how we can be more precise.
  • 35:45So what we've typically figured
  • 35:47on is the what,
  • 35:48which is based on an understanding
  • 35:50of carcinogenic processes.
  • 35:51Target early changes via
  • 35:53screening or interception,
  • 35:55but I want to add The Who into this,
  • 35:57which isn't always integrated into this,
  • 35:59which is who's at risk and how much risk.
  • 36:01And that really tells us, not just.
  • 36:05What age but what kind of screen?
  • 36:10To use or what kind of intervention
  • 36:12to use and what's the follow-up care?
  • 36:15Where a?
  • 36:17Alternative delivery strategies,
  • 36:19like I mentioned home based sample
  • 36:22collection collection of testing,
  • 36:23app based interventions and so forth
  • 36:26and then how benefits and harms can be
  • 36:29manipulated by alternative routes of
  • 36:32administration like topical tamoxifen,
  • 36:34maintaining effective doses more
  • 36:36consistently through sustained release
  • 36:39to reduce toxicity and perhaps even
  • 36:42increase improve the benefits.
  • 36:44The cancer prevention,
  • 36:46benefits and even strategies.
  • 36:47For immunization and we we often
  • 36:50focus on active immunization,
  • 36:52but sometimes you can't develop a good
  • 36:54response or a sufficient response.
  • 36:56So maybe we have to make antibodies
  • 36:59like anti nicotine antibiotics
  • 37:01which we are supporting right now
  • 37:03to give people the immune spot
  • 37:06immune response that they need.
  • 37:08I think this is my final slide,
  • 37:10which is just a call out for our
  • 37:12cancer prevention fellowship program,
  • 37:14from which I spawned.
  • 37:15So how bad can it be?
  • 37:18This is a multidisciplinary,
  • 37:19diverse,
  • 37:20and highly competitive postdoctoral
  • 37:22training program that provides flexibility
  • 37:24for fellows to generate and pursue
  • 37:27original scientific ideas and structure,
  • 37:29to develop competencies,
  • 37:30support their future as leaders in the field.
  • 37:34But I'm very proud of is we've
  • 37:37got now cancer prevention fellows
  • 37:39from Costa Rica and we are working
  • 37:42towards the idea of having an ongoing
  • 37:45international training component to
  • 37:47this cancer prevention fellowship.
  • 37:49And then the Cancer Prevention
  • 37:52Fellowship program has alumni across
  • 37:54all across the country in the world.
  • 37:57You know it's been around for 35 years
  • 38:00now and fellows are at major cancer
  • 38:05centers and leadership positions.
  • 38:07Government agencies, research firms,
  • 38:09foundations, and policy organizations,
  • 38:11and the website for the Cancer
  • 38:13Prevention Fellowship program.
  • 38:15Shown there at the bottom.
  • 38:17So with that, I'll say thank you
  • 38:19and I'll take any questions.
  • 38:22From the audience and thanks again for
  • 38:24the invitation to Yale Cancer Center.
  • 38:29Thank you very much.
  • 38:31Doctor Castle and Great talking,
  • 38:32kind of a whirlwind overview.
  • 38:36What's been going on with
  • 38:38exciting preview of next steps?
  • 38:42So I'll ask people to send questions
  • 38:44via the chat button while we're waiting
  • 38:46for some other questions that they
  • 38:49had one just to get the ball rolling.
  • 38:51So. In your position,
  • 38:54the decisions need to be made
  • 38:56with regarding prioritization of
  • 38:58large scale efforts forward in
  • 39:01overarching strategies at the center.
  • 39:04Beneath that there are four
  • 39:06tactical decisions which.
  • 39:08Which plans to find out which teams he
  • 39:11grants or program projects so for WhatsApp.
  • 39:14So my question to you is how do
  • 39:18you track success that how do you?
  • 39:19How do you know five years from now
  • 39:21whether you made the right decisions or that?
  • 39:24Like if you imagine an alternate universe
  • 39:25where you could have been focused,
  • 39:27you know the center could have been
  • 39:29focusing on completely different things
  • 39:30are completely different strategies.
  • 39:32They can have different outcomes, so I don't.
  • 39:34I'm just curious how you think about
  • 39:37how you know how to evaluate the
  • 39:39progress of the centers making it both.
  • 39:42So what's the time horizon is one of
  • 39:44the metrics for evaluating success.
  • 39:47Boy you've touched it.
  • 39:47I mean you went right to the heart of it,
  • 39:49right?
  • 39:50Not just from a programmatic standpoint
  • 39:51but from a prevention standpoint,
  • 39:53because it often takes more than five
  • 39:55years to show any of this stuff works,
  • 39:57and I think.
  • 39:58That is sort of one of the major
  • 40:02barriers for researchers getting
  • 40:04into the prevention field because.
  • 40:08It's just hard, you know,
  • 40:08even you know and and the more
  • 40:10successful you are like for screening,
  • 40:13even harder it is to do a prevention trial,
  • 40:15right?
  • 40:15'cause then you start extending screening
  • 40:17intervals to the point where you
  • 40:19can't even study it within an hour one.
  • 40:22So I mean some of these things.
  • 40:24You know,
  • 40:25that's why we have to do things more,
  • 40:26sort of directed by the NCI
  • 40:28as a clinical trial,
  • 40:30rather than just relying on our one.
  • 40:32I know everybody wants to put
  • 40:33all the money into the R1,
  • 40:34but my calling is to come up with
  • 40:36the best prevention strategies
  • 40:38and sometimes it just doesn't fit
  • 40:40within the the framework of an R1.
  • 40:42There's no way that I can know in
  • 40:44advance whether my guesses are good.
  • 40:46And as you pointed out,
  • 40:47I have to make guess I have to make informed.
  • 40:50I hope. Informed guesses.
  • 40:51About where we should put our energies.
  • 40:55I think what I've been trying to impress
  • 40:58upon my staff and through my staff to
  • 41:01the extramural investigators we want to
  • 41:03ground this in the best science possible,
  • 41:06knowing that even that may not be good enough
  • 41:08and and one of the challenges and we were,
  • 41:10we have an ongoing workshop
  • 41:13the last couple days is that.
  • 41:16We rely particularly for
  • 41:18preventive agents on mouse models.
  • 41:20But there's a lot of issues
  • 41:23with mouse models.
  • 41:24You know?
  • 41:24How well does it recapitulate human biology?
  • 41:28How much can we rely on that?
  • 41:30Because what happens,
  • 41:31of course,
  • 41:32is then we go to, you know,
  • 41:35human trials based on those results.
  • 41:37Even the phase one phase
  • 41:39two trials are expensive.
  • 41:41They take a long time and and
  • 41:43don't have an efficacy readout.
  • 41:45So let's say the toxicity is OK.
  • 41:47Then you go into a five or
  • 41:49seven or ten year trial.
  • 41:51And only at the end there do you figure out,
  • 41:54Oh my God, this doesn't work.
  • 41:55We've just spent $100 million for something
  • 41:58that's not going to help anybody.
  • 42:00So it really is a challenge
  • 42:01and I don't have a good answer.
  • 42:03I would say that one of the.
  • 42:05Ways forward is we really
  • 42:07have to think hard about.
  • 42:09Surrogate endpoints for cancer
  • 42:11risk or cancer mortality.
  • 42:13So screening trials are
  • 42:15particularly challenging because
  • 42:17right now the only thing that we,
  • 42:19I think everybody can completely agree
  • 42:21upon is if it reduces cancer mortality.
  • 42:24It works,
  • 42:25but stage shift doesn't
  • 42:27necessarily translate,
  • 42:28at least right now into benefit,
  • 42:31and you can see the UK ovarian cancer
  • 42:34screening trial is an example of that.
  • 42:36Although I I believe.
  • 42:38Eventually stage shift should
  • 42:40translate into mortality benefit,
  • 42:42but until we've shown you know,
  • 42:45until that becomes a reliable.
  • 42:47Sarah did endpoint,
  • 42:49it doesn't.
  • 42:50It's hard to then recommend
  • 42:52something for general use,
  • 42:53so are you know one of our challenges,
  • 42:55whether it's and I've been
  • 42:58challenging the nutritional science
  • 43:00group within our that we can't
  • 43:02go into this black box of like.
  • 43:04Eat this we you know we can get people
  • 43:06to do this and then we're going to
  • 43:08go into a clinical trial to show you know,
  • 43:10reduction of cancer incidence,
  • 43:11which will take years and years
  • 43:13and years and years to do.
  • 43:14We need intermediate endpoints
  • 43:16that we can rely on that at least.
  • 43:20Push us in the right direction,
  • 43:21right?
  • 43:22The screen out the you know some of
  • 43:24the things that aren't going to work.
  • 43:27I do think that we have because of the
  • 43:29time and the expense we're going to
  • 43:31have to be more specific than sensitive.
  • 43:34We can't chase after everything,
  • 43:36so we have to place a sort of higher
  • 43:38bar in this development process
  • 43:40and and recognizing that we're
  • 43:43going to miss some opportunities.
  • 43:45But the the opportunity costs of
  • 43:48chasing after our tail are really
  • 43:51significant and and problematic.
  • 43:53So there is no good solution.
  • 43:55If you have one, please tell me because.
  • 43:57You know, we talk about this all the time.
  • 44:00It's just hard.
  • 44:01It's hard to do prevention and
  • 44:02yet everybody knows I mean.
  • 44:05Even the most ******** oncologists
  • 44:07would tell you no.
  • 44:10You know,
  • 44:10prevention is our first line of defense,
  • 44:13and if you know and I always
  • 44:15say this to my audiences,
  • 44:16they walk down the street after Kovid
  • 44:19when it's safe and ask the first
  • 44:21hundred people you walk into and say,
  • 44:23would you like your cancer
  • 44:25prevented or treated?
  • 44:27You know,
  • 44:27I'll take that bet with odds that
  • 44:29every one of them is going to say.
  • 44:32Of course, I want my cancer prevented so.
  • 44:35We all know it's important we
  • 44:37all want it to go forward,
  • 44:39but there are some real challenges to
  • 44:40it and you know, as I mentioned before,
  • 44:42the other challenge, of course,
  • 44:44is very low tolerance for toxicity if
  • 44:48you're primarily dealing with average risk.
  • 44:50People who are on that day,
  • 44:52most of them healthy.
  • 44:53You can't. You know,
  • 44:55you just can't do bad things to them,
  • 44:56understandably so you know the the
  • 44:59cervix world is sort of the outlier.
  • 45:02In a way, it's it was the low
  • 45:04hanging hanging fruit you have.
  • 45:06You know you have relatively
  • 45:08easily accessible tissue.
  • 45:10You have a single causal agent.
  • 45:13And you it takes 20 to 25 years ago
  • 45:16from infection on average to cancer.
  • 45:18I mean that you know,
  • 45:20if we if I want to be honest about them,
  • 45:22that one was supposed to be successful
  • 45:24and and the other ones are much harder.
  • 45:26So.
  • 45:30Thank you, no, I don't have a clear answer.
  • 45:32That's why I asked,
  • 45:34you know, I, I believe me.
  • 45:35If I had an answer I would share
  • 45:37it with you, but I I don't.
  • 45:38We struggle with this.
  • 45:39I think the best thing we can do is brown.
  • 45:41Listen better science, right?
  • 45:43Understanding the molecular mean
  • 45:44people wanted the magic bullet, right?
  • 45:47If you eat this.
  • 45:49This is going to work and I'm
  • 45:50not saying that that won't work,
  • 45:51but let's look at nutrition for a
  • 45:53second here and I apologize to any
  • 45:56nutritional epidemiologists or scientists.
  • 46:00But the challenges of going
  • 46:01from eating something into a
  • 46:03clinical trial or profound right?
  • 46:05So likely it's going to
  • 46:07be a low penetrance thing.
  • 46:09Even if you can measure it and the
  • 46:11the ability to show it both at the
  • 46:13lab level and if you go through the
  • 46:16hill criteria and say we've got to get
  • 46:18to a certain number of those before,
  • 46:20we're going to go into a clinical trial.
  • 46:21And then in most cases,
  • 46:23you're really talking about a low
  • 46:25penetrance or weak penetrance
  • 46:27of or weak effect, right?
  • 46:28So then you're talking about a huge trial.
  • 46:31You know, you're really rolling the dice on,
  • 46:34you know, 50 to $100 million trial
  • 46:36to get the kinds of endpoints.
  • 46:38And that's and we failed.
  • 46:40We've had a number of failures
  • 46:42and and you know,
  • 46:43the other one that people have been
  • 46:45chasing after his metformin and were or.
  • 46:47And that's really turning out to not not
  • 46:50be relevant in the prevention space,
  • 46:52or it's so it's such a weak effect
  • 46:54that we can't measure it, right?
  • 46:55So that's the other problem.
  • 46:56It might have a modifying effect,
  • 46:59but we can't.
  • 47:00Measure it and therefore we
  • 47:01can't recommend it.
  • 47:02And more importantly EU S Preventive
  • 47:04Services Task Force can't recommend it.
  • 47:06So and and you know that.
  • 47:09So I mean part of it is we want
  • 47:11something that's so cheap that
  • 47:12you can get it off the shelf or.
  • 47:13Or you can go to the grocery
  • 47:15store and eat it.
  • 47:17That has not panned out and and and
  • 47:19there can be a lot of reasons for that.
  • 47:22And it doesn't mean that it doesn't work,
  • 47:24but it's hard to show it, and it's hard
  • 47:26to invest that money in showing it.
  • 47:29So follow up question thinking about
  • 47:32the challenge of small effect sizes.
  • 47:34Or it could be a large sample size
  • 47:37of getting needed and create expense.
  • 47:39Just thinking about the experience
  • 47:41during COVID, but the UK.
  • 47:44Some kind of ran circles around
  • 47:46us as a nation with regard to the
  • 47:48facility with conducting these large
  • 47:50trials so that they have the recovery
  • 47:53trial which actually enrolled 10%
  • 47:55of all patients across the country
  • 47:57who are hospitalized in the UK were
  • 48:00involved in this large sent.
  • 48:02You know, it's large,
  • 48:04centrally coordinated trial randomization.
  • 48:05It is generated a great deal of prompt.
  • 48:09Really informative information is kind of.
  • 48:11People have subsequently been
  • 48:12saying or what can we learn?
  • 48:14Post code it's not covered child.
  • 48:16The more centralized approach,
  • 48:17so you know building and and you
  • 48:20mentioned is that the screening and
  • 48:22early detection network and what
  • 48:24are the strategies for creating
  • 48:25this large amount of people.
  • 48:27That and other things out there
  • 48:28for large systems where we could
  • 48:30be running multiple trials at the
  • 48:32same time and have like a single
  • 48:34infrastructure that's really, really big.
  • 48:36Well we've,
  • 48:37I mean to some extent we've done that
  • 48:39with enkor, but that tends to be,
  • 48:41you know,
  • 48:42a cancer centers and you know
  • 48:44oncology services.
  • 48:44I mean,
  • 48:45so some of the things that we're
  • 48:46doing like Team Nest where you
  • 48:47have to have radiology anyway,
  • 48:49that that kind of works in that network, but.
  • 48:52We have other networks that are
  • 48:54in place that could be leveraged.
  • 48:57It's a matter of coordinating
  • 48:58them and being willing now.
  • 49:00Some people would say Kaiser,
  • 49:02though my experience and I've worked
  • 49:04with Kaiser Permanente Northern
  • 49:05California for 15 plus years.
  • 49:07They're not really set up
  • 49:08to do clinical trials,
  • 49:10but one could imagine some combination
  • 49:14of FQHC's and other providers,
  • 49:17but starting to link them now.
  • 49:20Between you and me,
  • 49:21and I'll deny this if if anybody quotes me.
  • 49:25If you start doing that,
  • 49:26you start building a a public health.
  • 49:28Infrastructure which I think
  • 49:31COVID revealed we didn't have
  • 49:33in the United States so.
  • 49:35It is easier to do some of the stuff
  • 49:37in Europe because they have organized
  • 49:40programs they have organized health care.
  • 49:42They have organized screening.
  • 49:44We do not.
  • 49:46But I think we can start pushing
  • 49:47along those ways and it would be hope.
  • 49:49My hope you know,
  • 49:51probably long after I'm gone,
  • 49:52but that by doing these kinds
  • 49:54of activities where he showed
  • 49:56networks can work together that
  • 49:58you start to build the an informal
  • 50:01organized screening program we know.
  • 50:04There's a lot of data now to suggest
  • 50:06that organized screening really
  • 50:07makes a difference in terms of
  • 50:09the effectiveness of the program,
  • 50:11and I've had the privilege and
  • 50:13just reviewing another paper
  • 50:15from them of working with Norway
  • 50:17for the last eight or nine years.
  • 50:19And that's been a real pleasure to
  • 50:21like what they can do to you know,
  • 50:24and how they can make switches,
  • 50:26how they can really get high coverage
  • 50:29and and identify people for whom
  • 50:31the system is not working right.
  • 50:34And and come up with alternative strategies.
  • 50:36So we know that screening like even
  • 50:38for cervix we know that 2010 to 20%
  • 50:41of people don't get their routine
  • 50:43screening or don't get screened at all.
  • 50:45And that's where half of the
  • 50:47cervical cancers occur.
  • 50:48So if we can bridge that gap,
  • 50:50then we're making progress.
  • 50:52So I mean, that's not the typical innovation
  • 50:55that the division is focused on the past,
  • 50:57but I'm a population scientist
  • 50:58who's worked on some of this stuff,
  • 51:00so that's why.
  • 51:01I've sort of been thinking about my
  • 51:04own definition of precision cancer
  • 51:06prevention and trying to expand that
  • 51:08to say it isn't just what we do like
  • 51:12targeting carcinogenic pathways.
  • 51:13It's also how we do it and where we do it,
  • 51:16and for whom do we do it so?
  • 51:22That's great baby. Let me pause, I do.
  • 51:24I don't wanna turn this into a
  • 51:26fireside chat would be nice I
  • 51:27wanna try I like fireside chats.
  • 51:29I'm happy to happen even separately.
  • 51:31I can come back. Come.
  • 51:35Well, I had one other question.
  • 51:37No other questions from the groups.
  • 51:38One other quick question is on.
  • 51:41Mr. President.
  • 51:43What are you thoughts about some form
  • 51:45of a whole of government approach
  • 51:47intersectoral approach were talking about?
  • 51:50You know things like you know.
  • 51:53Is it critical?
  • 51:54So I wanted to find out which Ave,
  • 51:56but you know we subsidized corn.
  • 51:57So we our government on the one hand,
  • 51:59is doing things that actually
  • 52:01increasing the obesity our country.
  • 52:02So just thinking are there
  • 52:05avenues towards UM?
  • 52:07Collaborating across sectors
  • 52:09within the government,
  • 52:10to, you know,
  • 52:12think about changes at
  • 52:13the policy level to come.
  • 52:15I'm gonna change the diet or or you know,
  • 52:19kind of incorporate.
  • 52:21So we to evidence based policy change
  • 52:23under some kind of demonstration.
  • 52:25Part projects that could relate to things,
  • 52:28which is the change in diet?
  • 52:30You know population efforts to
  • 52:31to address obesity or in see how
  • 52:33that might affect cancer, right?
  • 52:35Well,
  • 52:36that's an interesting question of course.
  • 52:39You know one of the things that
  • 52:41I think about is, you know,
  • 52:42this crossover of obesity and smoking.
  • 52:44I mean,
  • 52:45smoking suppresses diet,
  • 52:46so is there going to be a point
  • 52:48of crossover where where obesity
  • 52:50becomes more important than smoking?
  • 52:53But I'm not suggesting that anybody
  • 52:55should start smoking to prevent recently,
  • 52:57by the way.
  • 53:00If you think about the successes of public
  • 53:03health successes in the United States,
  • 53:05they've really come.
  • 53:07They've been driven.
  • 53:09Sort of from the ground up, right?
  • 53:11So if you look at smoking?
  • 53:14You know it was lawsuits and you know,
  • 53:16demands from the public to
  • 53:18say this is this is, you know,
  • 53:21we have to do something.
  • 53:22Uh, even the you know one of the
  • 53:24most successful public health
  • 53:26campaigns has been HIV, right and?
  • 53:29And and that's because.
  • 53:32People demanded they got up on
  • 53:34their soapbox and they said,
  • 53:36you have to do something.
  • 53:37And so I think you know one of my jobs.
  • 53:40Although you know I'm not a implementation
  • 53:43and dissemination person that's in DCCPS,
  • 53:46but I've done that work for my entire career.
  • 53:49And we can speak about the audit
  • 53:51evening leading the division of
  • 53:52cancer prevention if you want.
  • 53:54But the I.
  • 53:55I do think that we have to educate the
  • 53:57public on the possibility of prevention,
  • 53:59which is why I wrote that OP Ed to
  • 54:01say if we can do this for COVID,
  • 54:03we should be doing it for cancer prevention.
  • 54:05That it's our first line of defense.
  • 54:07Not that we're going to prevent all cancer.
  • 54:09You know.
  • 54:09I have no illusions of that,
  • 54:11but I think there's a lot more and
  • 54:12you have to make the investment.
  • 54:14We invest three times just in the government.
  • 54:17We invest three times more
  • 54:18into treatment than we do.
  • 54:19Prevention, let alone pharma.
  • 54:21I mean pharma.
  • 54:22It's got to be 20 to one or more,
  • 54:26so I think it's it's getting.
  • 54:30Getting voices to say.
  • 54:31You know we need to make these
  • 54:33investments in prevention.
  • 54:35We need to understand obesity.
  • 54:37We need to also have policies
  • 54:40about you know what we make
  • 54:43available for foods and and tax.
  • 54:45You know one of the most
  • 54:48effective strategies is taxation.
  • 54:49So you know,
  • 54:50I'm ten years ago I was sitting at
  • 54:53the UN meeting on ends, you know,
  • 54:55global warming CDs and you know,
  • 54:56there's a lot of talk about the
  • 54:59policy end and taxation, and you know,
  • 55:03making sugary foods less available, right?
  • 55:06If you want 'cause I think.
  • 55:08This is my opinion and I I don't
  • 55:11mean to be offensive in any way but.
  • 55:13We are hardwired to eat.
  • 55:16It is primal and I don't think we
  • 55:18evolved to have unlimited access to food.
  • 55:21But we do now.
  • 55:22And so I know I have like no
  • 55:25resistance and the fact that I'm
  • 55:27sitting in home and I'm, you know,
  • 55:30literally 20 feet away from
  • 55:32my refrigerator is trouble.
  • 55:34Like if I'm not around it,
  • 55:35I'm much better off.
  • 55:37I just am.
  • 55:38But if and in fact, when I was at Einstein,
  • 55:40I wouldn't take anything to work
  • 55:41because I knew that, you know it just.
  • 55:44If it's not there, I don't eat it,
  • 55:46but if it's there,
  • 55:47I will eat it.
  • 55:47I have like no resistance and I
  • 55:49don't think I'm unusual that way.
  • 55:50I think I'm fairly represented
  • 55:52despite my knowledge base,
  • 55:53right? So I think you know.
  • 55:56Our challenge is understanding
  • 55:58fundamentally what we're hardwired to do.
  • 56:01I mean, smoking is a little different
  • 56:02because it's not a survival thing,
  • 56:04but once you're addicted,
  • 56:05you're addicted, right?
  • 56:06Your wiring, you know, you've you've done.
  • 56:09You've played.
  • 56:10You know, it's haywire.
  • 56:11You know you've messed with your,
  • 56:13you know with the program.
  • 56:15But food is fundamental.
  • 56:17We eat to survive so.
  • 56:19We evolved that capacity over,
  • 56:22you know, millennia.
  • 56:24To you know, and when we evolved it,
  • 56:28we evolved it when we had to go
  • 56:29out and hunt and gather, right?
  • 56:31So there was a lot of exercise and
  • 56:33the marginal difference between our
  • 56:36caloric expenditure and our intake
  • 56:39kept things in the right place.
  • 56:40But now I can go down to
  • 56:42the store and get you know,
  • 56:44or to a restaurant and get 1000
  • 56:47thousand calorie lunch easily.
  • 56:49When we're not even supposed to exceed 2000,
  • 56:52right? So one meal and I,
  • 56:54you know.
  • 56:55It's all haywire,
  • 56:56so I you see what I'm saying.
  • 56:58I think it really for the obesity thing.
  • 57:00I mean,
  • 57:00I do think that the NCIS responsibility
  • 57:02to do research to understand and come
  • 57:05up with strategies to mitigate it,
  • 57:07recognizing that there are we may
  • 57:08not get these other problems solved,
  • 57:10but I think this is going to be a
  • 57:12policy ultimately just like smoking.
  • 57:16Thank you up and down.
  • 57:19Actually, yeah, now I feel guilty about.
  • 57:21I'm about to walk out and buy
  • 57:221000 calories lunch right now.
  • 57:24Thank you, but no thank you for so much for
  • 57:26joining us and for your thoughts, were I.
  • 57:29I hope it was provocative.
  • 57:31I hope people got out a lot of it wasn't
  • 57:33your typical scientific presentation,
  • 57:35but I really wanted to get out and
  • 57:37sort of encourage people to come to
  • 57:39the division of cancer prevention
  • 57:41with their new prevention ideas.
  • 57:43We really need everybody in the boat.
  • 57:46You know, coming up with new
  • 57:49strategies to prevent cancer.
  • 57:50I think the public deserves it.
  • 57:54Absolutely well.
  • 57:54Thank you so much all right.
  • 57:56Good luck everyone.