2016
Climatic and evolutionary drivers of phase shifts in the plague epidemics of colonial India
Lewnard JA, Townsend JP. Climatic and evolutionary drivers of phase shifts in the plague epidemics of colonial India. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences Of The United States Of America 2016, 113: 14601-14608. PMID: 27791071, PMCID: PMC5187705, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1604985113.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPlague resistanceEnvironmental driversIntense natural selectionWild host populationsIntense selective pressureEvolutionary driversPossible evolutionary basisHost evolutionNatural selectionDisease resistanceEvolutionary selectionFlea population dynamicsEvolutionary basisSelective pressureEvolutionary processesPopulation dynamicsHost populationsWildlife hostsLocal persistencePlague dynamicsCommensal ratsDisease agentsPowerful insightsDisease transmissionEcology
2013
Optimal targeting of seasonal influenza vaccination toward younger ages is robust to parameter uncertainty
Mbah M, Medlock J, Meyers LA, Galvani AP, Townsend JP. Optimal targeting of seasonal influenza vaccination toward younger ages is robust to parameter uncertainty. Vaccine 2013, 31: 3079-3089. PMID: 23684837, PMCID: PMC3764605, DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2013.04.052.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsOptimal vaccine allocationParameter uncertaintiesMathematical modelProbability distributionConsideration of uncertaintiesOutcome measuresVaccine allocationHuman population immunitySeasonal influenza vaccinationControl of influenzaUncertainty analysisFace of uncertaintyInfluenza vaccinationVaccine efficacySeasonal influenzaPopulation immunityUncertaintyEpidemiological dataHigh riskYounger ageYoung adultsEpidemiological parametersOptimal agePrevious recommendationsVaccine