Featured Publications
Estimated Prevalence of Smoking and Smoking-Attributable Mortality Associated With Graphic Health Warnings on Cigarette Packages in the US From 2022 to 2100
Tam J, Jeon J, Thrasher JF, Hammond D, Holford TR, Levy DT, Meza R. Estimated Prevalence of Smoking and Smoking-Attributable Mortality Associated With Graphic Health Warnings on Cigarette Packages in the US From 2022 to 2100. JAMA Health Forum 2021, 2: e212852. PMID: 35977179, PMCID: PMC8796938, DOI: 10.1001/jamahealthforum.2021.2852.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSmoking-attributable deathsGraphic health warningsSmoking-attributable mortalityDecision analytical modelHealth warningsCigarette packagesPrevalence of smokingAdult smoking prevalenceSurveillance Modeling NetworkPopulation health outcomesPublic health benefitsPrimary outcomeSmoking prevalenceMAIN OUTCOMEUS FoodDrug AdministrationHealth outcomesMore deathsCancer interventionSmokingHealth harmsHealth benefitsPrevalenceDeathOutcomes
2023
Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil
Tam J, Jaffri M, Mok Y, Jeon J, Szklo A, Souza M, Holford T, Levy D, Cao P, Sánchez-Romero L, Meza R. Patterns of Birth Cohort‒Specific Smoking Histories in Brazil. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s63-s71. PMID: 36775755, PMCID: PMC10240503, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.12.002.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchMeSH KeywordsAdultBirth CohortBrazilFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceSmokingSmoking CessationTobacco Use DisorderConceptsMean cigarettesBirth cohortSmoker prevalenceSmoking patternsLong-term health outcomesGlobal Adult Tobacco SurveyAdult Tobacco SurveyNational Health SurveyStronger tobacco control policiesTobacco control policiesSmoking historySmoking cessationPublic health decisionsSmoking prevalenceRisk factorsChronic diseasesHealth SurveyTobacco useSmoking initiationHealth outcomesFemale cohortCohortTobacco SurveyTelephone interviewsSmoking parametersSmoking Disparities by Level of Educational Attainment and Birth Cohort in the U.S.
Cao P, Jeon J, Tam J, Fleischer N, Levy D, Holford T, Meza R. Smoking Disparities by Level of Educational Attainment and Birth Cohort in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s22-s31. PMID: 36935129, PMCID: PMC10177656, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.06.021.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsBirth cohortSmoking patternsRecent cohortsEducation groupCurrent smoking prevalenceEducation levelGrade educationCessation probabilitiesSmoking prevalenceTobacco useLow prevalenceCohortSmoking disparitiesDemographic characteristicsPrevalenceCohort modelCollege degreeCalendar yearDemographic factorsCessationGroupSpecial considerationDisparitiesIndividualsImportant differencesSmoking Histories by State in the U.S.
Holford T, McKay L, Jeon J, Tam J, Cao P, Fleischer N, Levy D, Meza R. Smoking Histories by State in the U.S. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2023, 64: s42-s52. PMID: 36653233, PMCID: PMC11186469, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.08.018.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsPack yearsSmoking historySmoking prevalenceBirth cohortSmoking initiationNational Health Interview SurveyMean smoking durationHealth Interview SurveyTobacco Use SupplementRecent birth cohortsTobacco control policiesCessation probabilitiesCigarette smokingSmoking trendsSmoking durationSmoking ratesState-specific trendsPrevalenceTobacco controlInterview SurveyCohortCessationDurationInitiationYears
2022
Modeling cigarette smoking disparities between people with and without serious psychological distress in the US, 1997–2100
Xi Q, Meza R, Leventhal A, Tam J. Modeling cigarette smoking disparities between people with and without serious psychological distress in the US, 1997–2100. Preventive Medicine 2022, 166: 107385. PMID: 36495925, PMCID: PMC9994605, DOI: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2022.107385.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSerious psychological distressSPD statusSmoking disparitiesSmoking prevalenceSmoking initiationNational Health Interview Survey 1997Smoking-related disparitiesPsychological distressSmoking-attributable deathsCigarette smoking ratesSmoking cessationSmoking ratesGeneral populationPremature deathTobacco controlPrevalenceDeathCessationWomenDistressDisparitiesInitiationPopulationAbsolute differenceCompartmental model
2021
US Nicotine Vaping Product SimSmoke Simulation Model: The Effect of Vaping and Tobacco Control Policies on Smoking Prevalence and Smoking-Attributable Deaths
Levy DT, Sánchez-Romero LM, Travis N, Yuan Z, Li Y, Skolnick S, Jeon J, Tam J, Meza R. US Nicotine Vaping Product SimSmoke Simulation Model: The Effect of Vaping and Tobacco Control Policies on Smoking Prevalence and Smoking-Attributable Deaths. International Journal Of Environmental Research And Public Health 2021, 18: 4876. PMID: 34063672, PMCID: PMC8124578, DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18094876.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSmoking-attributable deathsSmoking prevalenceNicotine vaping productsNVP useCigarette-oriented policiesAdult smoking prevalencePublic health impactTobacco control policiesUS National SurveySmoking trendsCigarette useTUS-CPSPrevalenceAge 18Young adultsVaping productsHealth impactsNational surveyDeathMalesFemalesComparison of e‐cigarette use prevalence and frequency by smoking status among youth in the United States, 2014–19
Tam J, Brouwer AF. Comparison of e‐cigarette use prevalence and frequency by smoking status among youth in the United States, 2014–19. Addiction 2021, 116: 2486-2497. PMID: 33565662, PMCID: PMC8328922, DOI: 10.1111/add.15439.Peer-Reviewed Original Research
2020
Modeling smoking-attributable mortality among adults with major depression in the United States
Tam J, Taylor GMJ, Zivin K, Warner KE, Meza R. Modeling smoking-attributable mortality among adults with major depression in the United States. Preventive Medicine 2020, 140: 106241. PMID: 32860820, PMCID: PMC7680404, DOI: 10.1016/j.ypmed.2020.106241.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsCurrent major depressionSmoking-attributable mortalityMajor depressionGeneral populationComorbid mental health conditionsSmoking-attributable deathsUS adult populationMental health statusTobacco-related health disparitiesPublic health effortsMental health conditionsTobacco control effortsPrevalence ratiosSmoking prevalenceAbsence of interventionMD onsetDifferent intervention strategiesHealth effortsMD increaseDrug useHealth statusLife yearsMD comorbidityAdult populationPremature deathU.S. Simulation of Lifetime Major Depressive Episode Prevalence and Recall Error
Tam J, Mezuk B, Zivin K, Meza R. U.S. Simulation of Lifetime Major Depressive Episode Prevalence and Recall Error. American Journal Of Preventive Medicine 2020, 59: e39-e47. PMID: 32446751, PMCID: PMC7375917, DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2020.03.021.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsMajor depressive episodeDepressive episodeLifetime historyFirst major depressive episodePast major depressive episodeDepression prevention strategiesMental health conditionsSubstantial recall biasLeading causePrevention strategiesDrug useEpisode historyRecall biasHealth conditionsPopulation healthAdultsEpisodesDisease epidemiologyNational surveyPast episodesSurveillance effortsFull burdenHealth dataWomenSurvey assessment
2018
Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach.
Jeon J, Holford TR, Levy DT, Feuer EJ, Cao P, Tam J, Clarke L, Clarke J, Kong CY, Meza R. Smoking and Lung Cancer Mortality in the United States From 2015 to 2065: A Comparative Modeling Approach. Annals Of Internal Medicine 2018, 169: 684-693. PMID: 30304504, PMCID: PMC6242740, DOI: 10.7326/m18-1250.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsLung cancer mortalityTobacco control effortsCancer mortalityLung cancer ratesLung cancerCancer ratesLung cancer burdenLung cancer deathsLung cancer screeningSmoking-related diseasesU.S. populationNational Cancer InstituteLonger life expectancyCancer burdenSmoking patternsCancer deathCessation effortsCancer screeningTobacco useCancer InstituteSmokingAdditional preventionNatural historyMortalityCancer
2016
Modeling the Effects of E-cigarettes on Smoking Behavior
Cherng ST, Tam J, Christine PJ, Meza R. Modeling the Effects of E-cigarettes on Smoking Behavior. Epidemiology 2016, 27: 819-826. PMID: 27093020, PMCID: PMC5039081, DOI: 10.1097/ede.0000000000000497.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsE-cigarette useSmoking behaviorE-cigarettesSmoking statusSmoking cessationCigarette smoking behaviorElectronic cigarette useE-cigarette use prevalenceCurrent smokersE-cigarette regulationsLong-term effectsSmoking outcomesSmoking initiationCigarette useUse prevalencePrevalenceSmokersCessationCurrent knowledgeOutcomesConsiderable controversyInitiationPossible effectsStatusUnknown effectsHas Smoking Cessation Increased? An Examination of the US Adult Smoking Cessation Rate 1990–2014
Méndez D, Tam J, Giovino GA, Tsodikov A, Warner KE. Has Smoking Cessation Increased? An Examination of the US Adult Smoking Cessation Rate 1990–2014. Nicotine & Tobacco Research 2016, 19: 1418-1424. PMID: 27634956, DOI: 10.1093/ntr/ntw239.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSmoking cessation ratesNational Health Interview SurveyCessation ratesSmoking prevalenceSmoking epidemicIndependent population surveysAdult smoking prevalenceHealth Interview SurveyAnnual cessation rateMeta-regression modelsSmoking cessationNSDUH dataQuit ratesNHIS dataDrug useObserved prevalencePrevalenceInterview SurveySmokersNational surveyPopulation surveyEpidemicUnited StatesFindings
2014
Impact of Changing U.S. Demographics on the Decline in Smoking Prevalence, 1980–2010
Tam J, Warner KE, Gillespie BW, Gillespie JA. Impact of Changing U.S. Demographics on the Decline in Smoking Prevalence, 1980–2010. Nicotine & Tobacco Research 2014, 16: 864-866. PMID: 24401731, DOI: 10.1093/ntr/ntt223.Peer-Reviewed Original ResearchConceptsSmoking prevalenceNational Health Interview SurveyTotal smoking prevalenceU.S. smoking prevalenceDistribution of smokersHealth Interview SurveyRace/ethnicity groupsRace/ethnicity distributionRace/ethnicity categoriesSmoking ratesGeneral populationPrevalenceEthnicity distributionInterview SurveyU.S. populationEthnicity groupsAgeDemographicsSmokersSmokingEthnicity categoriesDemographic factorsShare of HispanicsPopulationImportant contributor